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Germany v Italy Odds Suggest Germany Will Concede But Still Win

by Nick Webster. Published Thu 28 Jun 2012 11:00, last updated: 28/06/12

Germany v Italy Odds Suggest Germany Will Concede But Still Win

The second of the Euro 2012 Semi Finals takes place on Thursday and it is Germany, who were very well fancied in the Euro odds ahead of the tournament taking on World Cup 2006 winners Italy. The Germany v Italy odds suggest Germany will edge a close encounter but will this match really go to plan?

Germany have become the neutral’s favourite in recent years because of their open and exciting style of play and given that Italy knocked England out there will be plenty of England fans supporting the Germans here, something we haven’t been able to say in decades gone by. Germany have won all four of their Euro 2012 matches so far, an impressive accomplishment considering they were drawn in the group of death, whilst Italy have only won one match so far but they did draw against Spain so they may fancy their chances of getting a result against Germany here.

Germany are the favourites but they are a decent price to win this match in 90 minutes, the best odds at the time of writing are 10/11 with most bookies and that will seem big to punters who have watched both teams so far at Euro 2012. Italy have drawn three matches already at this tournament so it is no surprise that outcome is fancied more than an Italian win, the draw has been priced up at 5/2 generally whilst those that fancy Italy to pull off what would probably be the biggest shock at Euro 2012 so far can get 4/1.

Germany have won all their matches so far as previously mentioned but they have only beaten Greece by more than one goal so far meaning anyone looking to boost the odds on a German victory in 90 minutes may want to back Germany to win by a one goal margin at 11/4. It is also worth noting that Germany have only kept one clean sheet so far so both teams to score could appeal to quite a few punters at 6/5. Germany have conceded an average of a goal a game at Euro 2012 so far whilst Italy have scored four goals in four matches so Germany look most likely to conceded one and only one goal. If that is the case and Germany win by a one goal margin then the correct score would have to be 2-1 to Germany and that might just be the pick of that market at 9/1.

Mario Gomez is the only player involved in this match who has scored more than one goal so far at Euro 2012 so he has to make the most appeal out of the potential goalscoerers, the Bayern Munich striker is 11/2 best odds to score first against Italy and 19/10 to score at anytime in this match. If there is a player who is overpriced in the betting it could be Mesut Ozil, he has controlled many games at Euro 2012 so far but hasn’t scored yet, he was the joint second top scorer for the Germans in qualifying though and he is 14/1 to open the scoring and 5/1 to net at anytime.

You can take a look at the best bets for the remaining Euro 2012 matches with EuroOdds. Click here to visit Euroodds for stats, tips and free bets. Three of the four recommended best bets for the Quarter Finals were winners meaning anyone who backed all four singles more than doubled their investment.





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